Journal Information
Share
Share
Download PDF
More article options
Visits
112
Original article
Full text access
Available online 25 December 2024
Which one is a better predictor of prognosis in COVID-19: analytical biomarkers or PaO2/FiO2?
¿Cuál es mejor predictor del pronóstico en COVID-19: biomarcadores analíticos o PaO2/FiO2?
Visits
112
M. Rubio-Rivasa,
Corresponding author
mrubio@bellvitgehospital.cat

Corresponding author.
, J.M. Mora-Lujánb, A. Montero Sáeza, M.D. Martín-Escalantec, V. Giner Galvañd, G. Maestro de la Callee, M.L. Taboada Martínezf, A. Muiño Míguezg, C. Lumbreras-Bermejoe, J.-M. Antón-Santosh, on behalf of the SEMI-COVID-19 Network 1
a Department of Internal Medicine, Bellvitge University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain
b Department of Internal Medicine, Parc Sanitari Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain
c Department of Internal Medicine, Costa del Sol Hospital, Marbella, Málaga, Spain
d Department of Internal Medicine, San Juan de Alicante University Hospital, Alicante, Spain
e Department of Internal Medicine, 12 de Octubre University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
f Department of Internal Medicine, Cabueñes Hospital, Gijón, Asturias, Spain
g Department of Internal Medicine, Gregorio Marañón University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
h Department of Internal Medicine, Infanta Cristina University Hospital, Parla, Madrid, Spain
This item has received
Article information
Abstract
Full Text
Bibliography
Download PDF
Statistics
Figures (2)
Tables (3)
Table 1. General data.
Table 2. Analytical risk categories (based on total lymphocyte count, CRP, LDH, ferritin, and D-dimer values) by PAFI.
Table 3. Risk factors of in-hospital mortality.
Show moreShow less
Additional material (1)
Abstract
Background

The study aimed to describe patient characteristics and outcomes by PaO2/FiO2 (PAFI) and degree of inflammation.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study with data on patients collected from March 1st, 2020 to March 1st, 2023, from the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. Non-nosocomial patients with data on PAFI (<100 vs. 100−200 vs. 200−300 vs. >300) who received corticosteroids (CS) for COVID-19 in the first 48 h of admission were included in the study. 5314 patients met the inclusion criteria for the present study. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

Results

Higher in-hospital mortality was found in the groups with PAFI < 100 (51.5% vs. 41.2% vs. 25.8% vs. 12.3%, P < .001). They also required more NIMV, IMV, and ICU admission, and had longer hospital stays. Those patients with PAFI > 300 and 4–5 high-risk criteria presented higher mortality than the patients with PAFI 200−300 and only 1−2 criteria of analytical inflammation. Risk factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality were age [OR = 1.06 (1.05−1.06)], moderate [OR = 1.87 (1.49−2.33)] and severe [OR = 2.64 (1.96−3.55)] degree of dependency, dyslipidemia [OR = 1.20 (1.03−1.39)], higher Charlson index [OR = 1.19 (1.14−1.24)], tachypnea on admission [2.23 (1.91−2.61)], the higher number of high-risk criteria on admission, and lower PAFI on admission. Female gender [OR = 0.77 (0.65−0.90)] and the use of RDSV [OR = 0.72 (0.56−0.93)] were found to be protective factors.

Conclusions

The lower the PAFI and the higher the degree of inflammation in COVID-19, the higher the in-hospital mortality. Inflammatory escalation precedes respiratory deterioration and should serve as an early predictor of severity to deciding the use of anti-inflammatory/immunosuppressive therapy.

Keywords:
COVID-19
PaO2/FiO2
Inflammation
Prognosis
Mortality
Abbreviations:
BMI
COPD
CRP
CS
HFNC
ICU
IMV
IQR
LDH
LMWH
NIMV
OSAS
PAFI
PCR
RDSV
SD
SEMI
TCZ
Resumen
Antecedentes

El estudio tenía como objetivo describir las características y los resultados de los pacientes según la PaO2/FiO2 (PAFI) y el grado de inflamación.

Métodos

Estudio de cohortes retrospectivo con datos de pacientes recogidos desde el 1 de marzo de 2020 hasta el 1 de marzo de 2023, del Registro Español SEMI-COVID-19. Se incluyeron en el estudio pacientes no nosocomiales con datos de PAFI (<100 vs 100−200 vs 200−300 vs >300) que recibieron corticoides (CS) por COVID-19 en las primeras 48 h de ingreso. 5.314 pacientes cumplieron los criterios de inclusión para el presente estudio. El resultado primario fue la mortalidad intrahospitalaria.

Resultados

Se encontró mayor mortalidad intrahospitalaria en los grupos con PAFI < 100 (51,5% vs 41,2% vs 25,8% vs 12,3%, P < ,001). También requirieron más VMNI, VMI e ingreso en UCI, y tuvieron estancias hospitalarias más prolongadas. Los pacientes con PAFI > 300 y 4–5 criterios de alto riesgo presentaron mayor mortalidad que los pacientes con PAFI 200−300 y sólo 1−2 criterios de inflamación analítica. Los factores de riesgo asociados a una mayor mortalidad intrahospitalaria fueron la edad [OR = 1,06 (1,05–1,06)], el grado de dependencia moderado [OR = 1,87 (1,49–2,33)] y grave [OR = 2,64 (1,96–3,55)], la dislipidemia [OR = 1, 20 (1,03–1,39)], mayor índice de Charlson [OR = 1,19 (1,14–1,24)], taquipnea al ingreso [2,23 (1,91–2,61)], mayor número de criterios de alto riesgo al ingreso y menor PAFI al ingreso. El sexo femenino [OR = 0,77 (0,65–0,90)] y el uso de RDSV [OR = 0,72 (0,56–0,93)] resultaron ser factores protectores.

Conclusiones

A menor PAFI y mayor grado de inflamación en COVID-19, mayor mortalidad intrahospitalaria. La escalada inflamatoria precede al deterioro respiratorio y debería servir como predictor precoz de gravedad para decidir el uso de terapia antiinflamatoria/inmunosupresora.

Palabras clave:
COVID-19
PaO2/FiO2
Inflamación
Pronóstico
Mortalidad
Full Text
Introduction

The COVID-19 epidemic has taught us a lot in a very short time. We have recognized the main risk factors associated with poor prognosis. These include age, male sex, some comorbidities (cardiovascular risk factors, chronic cardiac and pulmonary pathology, renal failure, cerebrovascular disease, etc.) and some analytical data (lymphopenia, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, creatinine, albumin, D-dimer, etc.).1–7 Some treatments with scientific evidence of prognostic improvement have been identified. These include remdesivir (RDSV),8 corticosteroids (CS),9–12 and tocilizumab (TCZ).12–22

PaO2/FiO2 (PAFI) has been identified as a prognostic factor and a cut-off of 300 has been widely used to define severity.23–26 Each hospital has followed its own protocols that have changed over time and as new research has emerged. The use of RDSV has become more widespread, especially in patients who present in the first few days of symptoms. The use of corticosteroids is almost universal at the hospital level in these patients. With TCZ, however, it has been more restrictive. In general, it has been reserved for patients with PAFI < 300 and who had some associated inflammatory parameters. Which inflammatory parameter, how many, and which cut-offs to use have been variable in each hospital and in the trials that have been conducted to date.

The aim of the present study is initially to describe the characteristics of the patients and their outcomes by PAFI and degrees of inflammation.

Materials and methodsStudy design, patient selection, and data collection

Retrospective cohort study with data on patients collected and followed up from March 1st, 2020 to March 1st, 2023, from the nationwide Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. The characteristics of the patients included in this registry have been extensively described previously.27 This is a multicenter, nationwide registry with over 150 hospitals. All included patients were diagnosed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test taken from a nasopharyngeal sample, sputum, or bronchoalveolar lavage. The collection of data from each patient in terms of laboratory data, treatments, and outcomes was verified by the principal investigator of each center through the review of clinical records.

All participating centers in the register received approval from the relevant Ethics Committees, including Bellvitge University Hospital (PR 128/20).

Inclusion criteria

The patients included in the present study were the non-nosocomial patients of the registry with data on PAFI who received CS for COVID-19 in the first 48 h of admission as a standard of care.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion criteria for the study were patients with nosocomial COVID-19 and those patients not treated with corticosteroids for their COVID-19 as standard of care. Patients without PAFI data at the time of hospital admission were also excluded.

Treatments prescribed

All patients received CS. Doses of CS have varied throughout the pandemic; they are detailed in supplemental files. Data on RDSV or TCZ were also collected. The usual doses of TCZ in our country were 4−8 mg/kg iv, generally in a single dose, although some additional doses are allowed at the discretion of the responsible physician.

Patients usually received background treatment with low-weight molecular heparin (LWMH) at variable doses, also indicated.

Subgroups by PAFI

We divided the cohort according to PAFI on admission. The cut-offs were arbitrarily chosen to create 4 groups: PAFI < 100, PAFI = 100−200, PAFI = 200−300, and PAFI > 300.

Subgroups by categories of risk

The 3 categories of risk (low, intermediate, and high) are based on 5 inflammatory markers from the lab test sample taken on admission. They have been thoroughly described previously28,29: total lymphocyte count, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), ferritin, and D-dimer values (Table S1). The high-risk category was subdivided in two: the high-risk category for patients fulfilling 1−2 high-risk criteria and the extra very high-risk category for those patients fulfilling 3–5 high-risk criteria.

Outcomes definition

The primary outcome of our study was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included the requirement of a high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), ICU admission, and the length of stay (LOS).

Statistical analysis

Categorical variables were expressed as absolute numbers and percentages. Continuous variables are expressed as mean plus standard deviation (SD) in the case of parametric distribution or median [IQR] in the case of non-parametric distribution. Differences among groups were assessed using the chi-square test for categorical variables and ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis test as appropriate for continuous variables. P-values <.05 indicated statistical significance. Uni- and multivariate binary logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Those variables with a P < .10 in the univariate study were included in the multivariate study, plus age and gender. Missing data were treated with multiple imputations.

Statistical analysis was performed by IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 26.0. Armonk, NY, USA: IBM Corp.

ResultsGeneral data and symptoms between groups

A total of 26,619 patients were included in the Registry by March 2023; 7400 patients showed data on PAFI and 5314 met our inclusion criteria (Fig. S1). Two-hundred patients had PAFI < 100, 678 had PAFI 100-200, 2226 had PAFI 200−300, and 2210 had PAFI > 300 on admission. Most of the patients belonged to the first 3 waves of the pandemic (Table S2).

Table 1 shows the differences between the groups. Differences in baseline age were found between the different groups (69.7 vs. 72.9 vs. 72.5 vs. 68.2, P < .001). Differences were also found in gender between the groups (73.5% males vs. 61.9% vs. 61.6% vs. 61.3%, P < .001), the grade of dependency, and several comorbidities.

Table 1.

General data.

  PAFI upon admission 
  PAFI < 100  PAFI 100−200  PAFI 200−300  PAFI > 300  P-value 
200 (3.8)  678 (12.8)  2226 (41.9)  2210 (41.6)   
Age, median [IQR]  69.7 [60.8−78.3]  72.9 [60.4−82.8]  72.5 [61.7−82.8]  68.2 [54.9−79.9]  <.001 
Gender (males), n (%)  147 (73.5)  420 (61.9)  1372 (61.6)  1355 (61.3)  <.008 
Days from onset to admission, median [IQR]  6 [4−9]  7 [4−10]  7 [4−9]  7 [4−9]  .141 
BMI, median [IQR]  29.8 [26.2−33.2]  29.4 [25.8−32.7]  29.4 [26.1−32.9]  29.1 [25.9−32.7]  .124 
Race, n (%)          .005 
Caucasian  174 (87)  622 (91.7)  2062 (92.6)  1987 (89.9)   
Black  3 (1.5)  2 (0.3)  11 (0.5)  13 (0.6)   
Hispanic  15 (7.5)  38 (5.6)  131 (5.9)  163 (7.4)   
Asian  3 (1.5)  4 (0.6)  6 (0.3)  11 (0.5)   
Others  5 (2.5)  12 (1.8)  16 (0.7)  36 (1.6)   
Smoking behavior, n (%)          .003 
Never smoker  123 (61.5)  437 (64.5)  1486 (66.8)  1516 (68.6)   
Former smoker  65 (32.5)  187 (27.6)  642 (28.8)  575 (26)   
Current smoker  12 (6)  54 (8)  98 (4.4)  119 (5.4)   
Degree of dependency, n (%)          <.001 
None or mild  163 (81.5)  531 (78.3)  1727 (77.6)  1855 (83.9)   
Moderate  25 (12.5)  93 (13.7)  294 (13.2)  222 (10)   
Severe  12 (6)  54 (8)  205 (9.2)  133 (6)   
Arterial hypertension, n (%)  125 (62.5)  407 (60)  1344 (60.4)  1155 (52.3)  <.001 
Dyslipidemia, n (%)  97 (48.5)  312 (46)  979 (44)  883 (40)  .003 
Diabetes mellitus, n (%)  57 (28.5)  184 (27.1)  576 (25.9)  472 (21.4)  <.001 
Ischemic cardiopathy, n (%)  17 (8.5)  59 (8.7)  183 (8.2)  139 (6.3)  .045 
Chronic heart failure, n (%)  12 (6)  54 (8)  174 (7.8)  127 (5.7)  .030 
Chronic liver disease, n (%)  11 (5.5)  31 (4.6)  61 (2.7)  67 (3)  .026 
Severe chronic renal failure, n (%)  9 (4.5)  44 (6.5)  153 (6.9)  119 (5.4)  .147 
Dementia, n (%)  13 (6.5)  69 (10.2)  232 (10.4)  161 (7.3)  .001 
Cancer, n (%)  19 (9.5)  67 (9.9)  213 (9.6)  201 (9.1)  .918 
COPD, n (%)  25 (12.5)  83 (12.2)  231 (10.4)  189 (8.6)  .013 
Asthma, n (%)  13 (6.5)  54 (8)  162 (7.3)  163 (7.4)  .896 
OSAS, n (%)  24 (12)  53 (7.8)  165 (7.4)  152 (6.9)  .065 
Charlson index, median [IQR]  1 [0−2]  1 [0−2]  1 [0−2]  1 [0−2]  <.001 

BMI: body mass index. IQR: interquartile range. COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. OSAS: obstructive sleep apnea syndrome. Severe chronic renal failure: Creatinine >300 mg/dL or dyalisis. PAFI: PaO2/FiO2.

Regarding symptoms and as expected, the patients with PAFI < 100 presented more frequently with dyspnea (89.5% vs. 83.9% vs. 77% vs. 63.5%, P < .001), fever (83% vs. 73.9% vs. 73.1% vs. 72.5%, P = .015), and tachypnea (81% vs. 67.4% vs. 46.3% vs. 28.8%, P < .001). Alternatively, the patients with PAFI > 300 presented more arthromyalgias (19% vs. 26.7% vs. 25% vs. 31.2%, P < .001), ageusia (5.5% vs. 9.9% vs. 9.5% vs. 11.7%, P = .011), anosmia (6% vs. 8% vs. 8.5% vs. 10.4%, P = .033), headache (4.5% vs. 10.9% vs. 9.6% vs. 14.6%, P < .001), and vomiting (3.5% vs. 4% vs. 5.8% vs. 7.1%, P = .006) (Table S3).

Lab tests between groups

All patients had a baseline blood test compatible with the high inflammation risk category. Significant differences between groups were found in baseline median lymphocyte count (800 × 106/L vs. 800 vs. 850 vs. 980, P < .001), CRP (176 mg/L vs. 124 vs. 102 vs. 70, P < .001), LDH (492 U/L vs. 438 vs. 373 vs. 316, P < .001), ferritin (1077 mcg/L vs. 960 vs. 842 vs. 756, P < .001), and D-Dimer (972 ng/mL vs. 1000 vs. 810 vs. 651, P < .001) (Table S4).

Categories of risk

The 4 risk categories by PAFI are specified in Table 2. Noteworthy, the lesser the PAFI the more frequently was the very high-risk category found (60% vs. 46.5% vs. 30.5% vs. 19.3%, P < .001). The number of analytical high-risk criteria in each of the groups is shown in Table S5.

Table 2.

Analytical risk categories (based on total lymphocyte count, CRP, LDH, ferritin, and D-dimer values) by PAFI.

  PAFI upon admission 
  PAFI < 100  PAFI 100−200  PAFI 200−300  PAFI > 300  P-value 
           
Low-risk category, n (%)  4 (0.6)  13 (0.6)  26 (1.2)  <0.001 
Intermediate-risk category, n (%)  9 (4.5)  62 (9.1)  308 (13.8)  512 (23.2)  <.001 
High-risk category 1−2 criteria, n (%)  71 (35.5)  297 (43.8)  1226 (55.1)  1245 (56.3)  <0.001 
Very high-risk category 3−5 criteria, n (%)  120 (60)  315 (46.5)  679 (30.5)  427 (19.3)  <0.001 

PAFI: PaO2/FiO2. CRP: C-reactive protein. LDH: lactate dehydrogenase.

Treatments between groups

All patients in the present study were treated with CS (Table S6). Logically, TCZ was more prescribed in severe patients (25.5% vs. 17.8% vs. 17.6% vs. 13.7%, P < .001), usually with 1 single dose of TCZ, but additional doses were prescribed in a few patients. The dose and duration of CS treatment were unequal in the groups. Differences between groups were found in the maximum dose of prednisone (or equivalent) received (100 mg vs. 100 vs. 100 vs. 45, P < .001), days of CS treatment (7 days vs. 8 vs. 9 vs. 10, P < .001), and cumulative dose (500 mg vs. 487 vs. 500 vs. 375, P < .001).

Some patients received concomitant RDSV (9.5% vs. 9.7% vs. 13.2% vs. 16.1%, P < .001). Most patients received LMWH, although there were differences between groups in prophylactic, intermediate, or full doses.

Outcomes between groups

Logically, higher in-hospital mortality was found in the groups with PAFI < 100 (51.5% vs. 41.2% vs. 25.8% vs. 12.3%, P < .001). They also required more NIMV, IMV, and ICU admission, and had longer LOS (Table S7 and Fig. S2). In-hospital mortality by PAFI and categories of risk are also shown in Table S7 and Fig. 1. Additionally, in-hospital mortality by PAFI and the number of high-risk criteria are shown in Fig. 2. Noteworthy, those patients with PAFI > 300 and 4–5 high-risk criteria presented higher mortality than the patients with PAFI 200−300 and only 1−2 criteria of analytical inflammation.

Figure 1.

In-hospital mortality by PAFI and category of risk in the lab test upon admission.

(0.13MB).
Figure 2.

In-hospital mortality by PAFI and the number of high-risk criteria in the lab test upon admission.

(0.17MB).

Risk factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality were age [OR = 1.06 (1.05−1.06)], moderate [OR = 1.87 (1.49−2.33)] and severe [OR = 2.64 (1.96−3.55)] degree of dependency, dyslipidemia [OR = 1.20 (1.03−1.39)], higher Charlson index [OR = 1.19 (1.14−1.24)], tachypnea on admission [2.23 (1.91−2.61)], the higher number of high-risk criteria on admission, and lower PAFI on admission (Table 3).

Table 3.

Risk factors of in-hospital mortality.

  Univariate analysisMultivariate analysis
  OR (95% CI)  P-value  OR (95% CI)  P-value 
Age/year  1.07 (1.06−1.07)  <.001  1.06 (1.05−1.06)  <.001 
Gender (female)  0.93 (0.82−1.06)  .290  0.77 (0.65−0.90)  .001 
BMI  0.99 (0.98−1.01)  .321     
Smoking behavior      NS   
Never smoker  1 ref.  <.001     
Former smoker  1.38 (1.20−1.59)  <.001     
Current smoker  1.14 (0.86−1.52)  .357     
Dependency grade         
None or mild  1 ref.  <.001  1 ref.   
Moderate  3.91 (3.28−4.66)  <.001  1.87 (1.49−2.33)  <.001 
Severe  4.62 (3.74−5.70)  <.001  2.64 (1.96−3.55)  <.001 
Arterial hypertension  2.30 (2−2.64)  <.001  NS   
Dyslipidemia  1.69 (1.49−1.92)  <.001  1.20 (1.03−1.39)  .021 
Diabetes mellitus  1.62 (1.41−1.87)  <.001  NS   
Ischemic cardiopathy  2.26 (1.83−2.79)  <.001  NS   
Heart failure  2.64 (2.12−3.28)  <.001  NS   
Chronic liver disease  1.40 (1.00−1.96)  .049  NS   
Chronic renal failure  2.87 (2.28−3.60)  <.001  NS   
Dementia  3.06 (2.52−3.72)  <.001  NS   
Cancer  2.04 (1.68−2.48)  <.001  NS   
COPD  2.11 (1.74−2.55)  <.001  NS   
OSAS  1.35 (1.08−1.70)  .009  NS   
Charlson index  1.36 (1.31−1.41)  <.001  1.19 (1.14−1.24)  <.001 
Tachypnea > 20 rpm  3.15 (2.76−3.60)  <.001  2.23 (1.91−2.61)  <.001 
Remdesivir  0.48 (0.39−0.60)  <.001  0.72 (0.56−0.93)  .011 
TCZ  0.98 (0.83−1.17)  .852     
PAFI upon admission         
>300  1 ref.    1 ref.   
200−300  2.48 (2.11−2.90)  <.001  1.77 (1.48−2.12)  <.001 
100−200  4.98 (4.08-6.08)  <.001  3.06 (2.42−3.87)  <.001 
<100  7.57 (5.58−10.26)  <.001  4.78 (3.35−6.81)  <.001 
Number of high-risk criteria         
1 ref.    1 ref.   
1.66 (1.29−2.14)  <.001  1.51 (1.14−2)  .004 
2.67 (2.11−3.42)  <.001  2.14 (1.63−2.81)  <.001 
4.15 (3.24−5.32)  <.001  3.08 (2.32−4.07)  <.001 
6.29 (4.76-8.32)  <.001  4.19 (3.03−5.78)  <.001 
7.42 (4.45−12.37)  <.001  4.38 (2.46−7.81)  <.001 

BMI: Body mass index. NS: Not significant. COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. OSAS: obstructive sleep apnea syndrome. TCZ: tocilizumab. PAFI: PaO2/FiO2.

Female gender [OR = 0.77 (0.65−0.90)] and the use of RDSV [OR = 0.72 (0.56−0.93)] were found to be protective factors.

Discussion

From the beginning of the pandemic, it was essential to identify those patients likely to present severe COVID-19, with a higher rate of admission to the ICU and higher mortality. These clinical variables were quickly identified, among which age, male sex and various comorbidities (cardiovascular risk factors, cancer, cardiovascular disease, COPD, obesity, etc.) stand out. Later, analytical variables related to respiratory (PAFI), nutritional (albumin, creatinine…) or inflammatory (lymphocytes, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, LDH, ferritin, Ddimer, CRP…) status were identified. Recent meta-analyses identify these factors with perspective after 4 years.3–7

The present study aims to highlight the importance of analytical inflammation as a predictor of severity in patients admitted with COVID-19, even ahead of their respiratory status. COVID-19 typically presents with an escalation of inflammation that precedes respiratory deterioration and, used wisely, provides valuable information in a window of opportunity that should not be missed.

PAFI or patient respiratory status is a valuable predictor of mortality, but it is a predictor that comes late. Inflammatory escalation occurs first, followed by a period of “happy hypoxemia” and then the development of respiratory distress.30 We need predictors pre-disease (baseline patient characteristics such as age, sex, comorbidities, etc.) and predictors early in the course of the disease. Symptom clusters are helpful and as we show in this study, they also relate to the patient's respiratory status.31 But undoubtedly the most useful early predictor in COVID-19 is the 5 parameters of analytical inflammation and on these, the therapeutic strategies and hospital protocols should be defined. Of particular importance is the definition of when to prescribe CS and TCZ, as these are the 2 main drugs used in COVID-19 to block the escalation of inflammation. It is clear that the 5 analytical biomarkers have an obvious prognostic role. Which of them is more important is difficult to know and would be an interesting line of research. What we do know from previous studies by our group is that there are different clusters of inflammation from which different inflammatory pathways can be intuited.31 That is, not all patients become inflamed in the same way and following the same pattern in which inflammatory parameters are added in the same order. For this reason, we believe that it is especially important to explore the 5 parameters in all blood tests of patients with COVID-19. Some patients elevate some parameters and others others and, at the outset, we do not know the pathway of each one.

Waiting for respiratory deterioration to initiate certain therapies such as TCZ only increases risk and in-hospital mortality. Many hospital protocols have not allowed the use of TCZ in PAFI > 300. This was an arbitrary cut-off not based on scientific evidence. Looking at the results of this study it is clearly a mistake. Quite a few of these patients present with a large analytical inflammation, will present with an escalation of inflammation in the following days and in case of treatment with TCZ, it is possible that it will come too late for some patients. In fact, patients with PAFI > 300 and a higher degree of inflammation had higher mortalities than patients with PAFI 200−300 and a lower degree of inflammation. More studies are needed to explore this subgroup of patients with PAFI > 300, but a reasonable approach would be to treat high-risk criteria patients early with CS and TCZ regardless of their respiratory status.

Patients who present late with already very low PAFIs will have high mortalities despite correct and early management of the therapeutic arsenal. However, we should not allow patients who present with a good respiratory status to worsen and even die because we did not react in time with the analytical data on the inflammation that were already available on admission and that warned us of what was to come in the days to come.

Finally, there are very few patients with low or intermediate degrees of inflammation who show respiratory deterioration and some even die. Our study does not allow us to study the causes of death in these patients but it is very likely that their deaths are due to baseline comorbidity factors or complications during admission not directly related to COVID-19.

We believe that, for some unknown reason, older patients, and therefore with greater comorbidity, present a higher degree of analytical inflammation. When these analytical parameters are included in a multivariate model, it is shown that these are indeed the main variables of poor prognosis. This fact could explain why risk factors recognized as poor prognostic in COVID-19 (especially some comorbidities) do not appear in our multivariate analysis.

The present study has obvious strengths such as a large sample of patients and clinical and analytical variables from a consolidated source such as the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 registry. In addition, most of the patients belong to the first 3 pandemic waves and, therefore, to a period prior to vaccination in our country. It is a more realistic scenario than the later period in which the beneficial effect of vaccines attenuated the inflammatory escalation of our patients, thus saving thousands of lives. The study also has some limitations. First, the study is retrospective. Second, there were some analytical missing data. This limitation was minimized by performing multiple imputations. Third, the study design was not designed to assess the efficacy of treatments such as RDSV, CS, and TCZ so its multiple regression results should be taken with reservations. Fourth, there is an under-representation of low-risk patients in each of the groups and this sometimes limits the statistical analysis.

In conclusion, the lower the PAFI and the higher the degree of inflammation in COVID-19, the higher the in-hospital mortality. Inflammatory escalation precedes respiratory deterioration and should serve as an early predictor of severity to deciding on the use of anti-inflammatory/immunosuppressive therapy.

Funding

This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

Acknowledgments

We gratefully acknowledge all the investigators who participate in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. We also thank the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry Coordinating Center for their quality control data, logistic and administrative support.

Appendix A
List of the SEMI-COVID-19 Network members

Coordinator of the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry: José Manuel Casas Rojo.

SEMI-COVID-19 Scientific Committee Members: José Manuel Casas Rojo, José Manuel Ramos Rincón, Carlos Lumbreras Bermejo, Jesús Millán Núñez-Cortés, Juan Miguel Antón Santos, Ricardo Gómez Huelgas.

Members of the SEMI-COVID-19 Group

H. Univ. de Bellvitge. L'Hospitalet de Llobregat (Barcelona)

Francesc Formiga, Narcís Homs, Abelardo Montero, Jose María Mora-Luján, Manuel Rubio-Rivas.

H. Costa del Sol. Marbella (Málaga)

Victoria Augustín Bandera, Javier García Alegría, Nicolás Jiménez-García, Jairo Luque del Pino, María Dolores Martín Escalante, Francisco Navarro Romero, Victoria Nuñez Rodriguez, Julián Olalla Sierra.

H. U. S. Juan de Alicante (Alicante)

Marisa Asensio Tomás, David Balaz, David Bonet Tur, Ruth Cañizares Navarro, Paloma Chazarra Pérez, Jesús Corbacho Redondo, Eliana Damonte White, María Escamilla Espínola, Leticia Espinosa Del Barrio, Pedro Jesús Esteve Atiénzar, Carles García Cervera, David Francisco García Núñez, Francisco Garrido Navarro, Vicente Giner Galvañ, Angie Gómez Uranga, Javier Guzmán Martínez, Isidro Hernández Isasi, Lourdes Lajara Villar, Verónica Martínez Sempere, Juan Manuel Núñez Cruz, Sergio Palacios Fernández, Juan Jorge Peris García, Rafael Piñol Pleguezuelos, Andrea Riaño Pérez, José Miguel Seguí Ripoll, Azucena Sempere Mira, Philip Wikman-Jorgensen.

H. U. 12 de Octubre. Madrid

Paloma Agudo de Blas, Coral Arévalo Cañas, Blanca Ayuso, José Bascuñana Morejón, Samara Campos Escudero, María Carnevali Frías, Santiago Cossio Tejido, Borja de Miguel Campo, Carmen Díaz Pedroche, Raquel Diaz Simon, Ana García Reyne, Laura Ibarra Veganzones, Lucia Jorge Huerta, Antonio Lalueza Blanco, Jaime Laureiro Gonzalo, Jaime Lora-Tamayo, Carlos Lumbreras Bermejo, Guillermo Maestro de la Calle, Rodrigo Miranda Godoy, Barbara Otero Perpiña, Diana Paredes Ruiz, Marcos Sánchez Fernández, Javier Tejada Montes.

H. de Cabueñes. Gijón (Asturias)

Ana María Álvarez Suárez, Carlos Delgado Vergés, Rosa Fernandez-Madera Martínez, Eva Mª Fonseca Aizpuru, Alejandro Gómez Carrasco, Cristina Helguera Amezua, Juan Francisco López Caleya, Diego López Martínez, María del Mar Martínez López, Aleida Martínez Zapico, Carmen Olabuenaga Iscar, Lucía Pérez Casado, María Luisa Taboada Martínez, Lara María Tamargo Chamorro.

H. U. Gregorio Marañon. Madrid

Laura Abarca Casas, Álvaro Alejandre de Oña, Rubén Alonso Beato, Leyre Alonso Gonzalo, Jaime Alonso Muñoz, Crhistian Mario Amodeo Oblitas, Cristina Ausín García, Marta Bacete Cebrián, Jesús Baltasar Corral, Maria Barrientos Guerrero, Alejandro D. Bendala Estrada, María Calderón Moreno, Paula Carrascosa Fernández, Raquel Carrillo, Sabela Castañeda Pérez, Eva Cervilla Muñoz, Agustín Diego Chacón Moreno, Maria Carmen Cuenca Carvajal, Sergio de Santos, Andrés Enríquez Gómez, Eduardo Fernández Carracedo, María Mercedes Ferreiro-Mazón Jenaro, Francisco Galeano Valle, Alejandra Garcia, Irene Garcia Fernandez-Bravo, María Eugenia García Leoni, María Gómez Antúnez, Candela González San Narciso, Anthony Alexander Gurjian, Lorena Jiménez Ibáñez, Cristina Lavilla Olleros, Cristina Llamazares Mendo, Sara Luis García, Víctor Mato Jimeno, Clara Millán Nohales, Jesús Millán Núñez-Cortés, Sergio Moragón Ledesma, Antonio Muiño Míguez, Cecilia Muñoz Delgado, Lucía Ordieres Ortega, Susana Pardo Sánchez, Alejandro Parra Virto, María Teresa Pérez Sanz, Blanca Pinilla Llorente, Sandra Piqueras Ruiz, Guillermo Soria Fernández-Llamazares, María Toledano Macías, Neera Toledo Samaniego, Ana Torres do Rego, Maria Victoria Villalba García, Gracia Villarreal, María Zurita Etayo.

C. H. U. de Badajoz

Rafael Aragon Lara, Inmaculada Cimadevilla Fernández, Juan Carlos Cira García, Gema María García García, Julia Gonzalez Granados, Beatriz Guerrero Sánchez, Francisco Javier Monreal Periáñez, María Josefa Pascual Pérez.

C. H. U. de Albacete

Jose Luis Beato Pérez, María Lourdes Sáez Méndez.

H. Royo Villanova. Zaragoza

Nicolás Alcalá Rivera, Anxela Crestelo Vieitez, Esther del Corral Beamonte, Jesús Díez Manglano, Isabel Fiteni Mera, Maria del Mar Garcia Andreu, Martin Gericó Aseguinolaza, Cristina Gallego Lezaun, Claudia Josa Laorden, Raul Martínez Murgui, Marta Teresa Matía Sanz.

H. Reg. Univ. de Málaga

Mª Mar Ayala-Gutiérrez, Rosa Bernal López, José Bueno Fonseca, Verónica Andrea Buonaiuto, Luis Francisco Caballero Martínez, Lidia Cobos Palacios, Clara Costo Muriel, Francis de Windt, Ana Teresa Fernandez-Truchaud Christophel, Paula García Ocaña, Ricardo Gómez Huelgas, Javier Gorospe García, José Antonio Hurtado Oliver, Sergio Jansen-Chaparro, María Dolores López-Carmona, Pablo López Quirantes, Almudena López Sampalo, Elizabeth Lorenzo-Hernández, Juan José Mancebo Sevilla, Jesica Martín Carmona, Luis Miguel Pérez-Belmonte, Iván Pérez de Pedro, Araceli Pineda-Cantero, Carlos Romero Gómez, Michele Ricci, Jaime Sanz Cánovas.

H. U. La Paz. Madrid

Jorge Álvarez Troncoso, Francisco Arnalich Fernández, Francisco Blanco Quintana, Carmen Busca Arenzana, Sergio Carrasco Molina, Aranzazu Castellano Candalija, Germán Daroca Bengoa, Alejandro de Gea Grela, Alicia de Lorenzo Hernández, Alejandro Díez Vidal, Carmen Fernández Capitán, Maria Francisca García Iglesias, Borja González Muñoz, Carmen Rosario Herrero Gil, Juan María Herrero Martínez, Víctor Hontañón, Maria Jesús Jaras Hernández, Carlos Lahoz, Cristina Marcelo Calvo, Juan Carlos Martín Gutiérrez, Monica Martinez Prieto, Elena Martínez Robles, Araceli Menéndez Saldaña, Alberto Moreno Fernández, Jose Maria Mostaza Prieto, Ana Noblejas Mozo, Carlos Manuel Oñoro López, Esmeralda Palmier Peláez, Marina Palomar Pampyn, Maria Angustias Quesada Simón, Juan Carlos Ramos Ramos, Luis Ramos Ruperto, Aquilino Sánchez Purificación, Teresa Sancho Bueso, Raquel Sorriguieta Torre, Clara Itziar Soto Abanedes, Yeray Untoria Tabares, Marta Varas Mayoral, Julia Vásquez Manau.

H. Clínico de Santiago de Compostela (A Coruña)

Maria del Carmen Beceiro Abad, Maria Aurora Freire Romero, Sonia Molinos Castro, Emilio Manuel Paez Guillan, María Pazo Nuñez, Paula María Pesqueira Fontán.

H. U. Reina Sofía. Córdoba

Antonio Pablo Arenas de Larriva, Pilar Calero Espinal, Javier Delgado Lista, Francisco Fuentes-Jiménez, María del Carmen Guerrero Martínez, María Jesús Gómez Vázquez, Jose Jiménez Torres, Laura Limia Pérez, José López-Miranda, Laura Martín Piedra, Marta Millán Orge, Javier Pascual Vinagre, Pablo Pérez-Martínez, María Elena Revelles Vílchez, Angela Rodrigo Martínez, Juan Luis Romero Cabrera, José David Torres-Peña.

C. A. U. de Salamanca

Gloria María Alonso Claudio, Víctor Barreales Rodríguez, Cristina Carbonell Muñoz, Adela Carpio Pérez, María Victoria Coral Orbes, Daniel Encinas Sánchez, Sandra Inés Revuelta, Miguel Marcos Martín, José Ignacio Martín González, José Ángel Martín Oterino, Leticia Moralejo Alonso, Sonia Peña Balbuena, María Luisa Pérez García, Ana Ramon Prados, Beatriz Rodríguez-Alonso, Ángela Romero Alegría, María Sánchez Ledesma, Rosa Juana Tejera Pérez.

H. Universitario Dr. Peset. Valencia

Juan Alberto Aguilera Ayllón, Arturo Artero, María del Mar Carmona Martín, María José Fabiá Valls, Maria de Mar Fernández Garcés, Ana Belén Gómez Belda, Ian López Cruz, Manuel Madrazo López, Elisabeth Mateo Sanchis, Jaume Micó Gandia, Laura Piles Roger, Adela Maria Pina Belmonte, Alba Viana García.

H. U. Puerta de Hierro. Madrid

Ane Andrés Eisenhofer, Ana Arias Milla, Isolina Baños Pérez, Laura Benítez Gutiérrez, Javier Bilbao Garay, Jorge Calderón Parra, Alejandro Callejas Díaz, Erika Camacho Da Silva, M ª Cruz Carreño Hernández, Raquel Castejón Díaz, María Jesús Citores Sánchez, Carmen Cubero Gozalo, Valentín Cuervas-Mons Martínez, Laura Dorado Doblado, Sara de la Fuente Moral, Alberto Díaz de Santiago, Itziar Diego Yagüe, Ignacio Donate Velasco, Ana María Duca, Pedro Durán del Campo, Gabriela Escudero López, Esther Expósito Palomo, Ana Fernández Cruz, Amy Galán Gómez, Sonia García Prieto, Beatriz García Revilla, Miguel Ángel García Viejo, Javier Gómez Irusta, Patricia González Merino, Edith Vanessa Gutiérrez Abreu, Isabel Gutiérrez Martín, Ángela Gutiérrez Rojas, Andrea Gutiérrez Villanueva, Jesús Herráiz Jiménez, Fátima Ibáñez Estéllez, Pedro Laguna del Estal, Mª Carmen Máinez Sáiz, Carmen de Mendoza Fernández, María Martínez Urbistondo, Fernando Martínez Vera, María Mateos Seirul-lo, Susana Mellor Pita, Patricia A. Mills Sánchez, Esther Montero Hernández, Alberto Mora Vargas, Victor Moreno-Torres Concha, Ignacio Morrás De La Torre, Elena Múñez Rubio, Rosa Muñoz de Benito, Alejandro Muñoz Serrano, Pablo Navarro Palomo, Ilduara Pintos Pascual, Arturo José Ramos Martín-Vegue, Antonio Ramos Martínez, Celia Rodríguez Olleros, Alberto Roldán Montaud, Yolanda Romero Pizarro, Silvia Rosado García, Diana Ruiz de Domingo, David Sánchez Ortiz, Enrique Sánchez Chica, Irene Solano Almena, Elena Suanzes Martin, Yale Tung Chen, Pablo Tutor de Ureta, Ángela Valencia Alijo, Jose Manuel Vázquez Comendador, Juan Antonio Vargas Núñez.

H. Clínico San Carlos. Madrid

Inés Armenteros Yeguas, Javier Azaña Gómez, Julia Barrado Cuchillo, Irene Burruezo López, Noemí Cabello Clotet, Alberto E. Calvo Elías, Elpidio Calvo Manuel, Carmen María Cano de Luque, Cynthia Chocron Benbunan, Laura Dans Vilan, Claudia Dorta Hernández, Ester Emilia Dubon Peralta, Vicente Estrada Pérez, Santiago Fernandez-Castelao, Marcos Oliver Fragiel Saavedra, José Luis García Klepzig, Maria del Rosario Iguarán Bermúdez, Esther Jaén Ferrer, Alejandro Maceín Rodríguez, Alejandro Marcelles de Pedro, Rubén Ángel Martín Sánchez, Manuel Méndez Bailón, Sara Miguel Álvarez, Maria José Nuñez Orantos, Carolina Olmos Mata, Eva Orviz García, David Oteo Mata, Cristina Outon González, Juncal Perez-Somarriba, Pablo Pérez Mateos, Maria Esther Ramos Muñoz, Xabier Rivas Regaira, Laura Mª Rodríguez Gallardo, Iñigo Sagastagoitia Fornie, Alejandro Salinas Botrán, Miguel Suárez Robles, Maddalena Elena Urbano, Andrea María Vellisca González, Miguel Villar Martínez.

H. G. U. de Elda (Alicante)

Carmen Cortés Saavedra, Jennifer Fernández Gómez, Borja González López, María Soledad Hernández Garrido, Ana Isabel López Amorós, Santiago López Gil, María de los Reyes Pascual Pérez, Nuria Ramírez Perea, Andrea Torregrosa García.

Complejo Asistencial de Segovia

Daniel Monge Monge, Eva María Ferreira Pasos, Alba Varela García.

H. Miguel Servet. Zaragoza

Luis Sáez Comet, Laura Letona Giménez, Uxua Asín Samper, Gonzalo Acebes Repiso, José Miguel García Bruñén, Mónica Llorente Barrio, María Aranzazu Caudevilla Martínez, Jesús Javier González Igual, Rosa García Fenoll.

H. U. La Princesa. Madrid

María Aguilera García, Ester Alonso Monge, Jesús Álvarez Rodríguez, Claudia Alvarez Varela, Miquel Berniz Gòdia, Marta Briega Molina, Marta Bustamante Vega, Jose Curbelo, Alicia de las Heras Moreno, Ignacio Descalzo Godoy, Alexia Constanza Espiño Alvarez, Ignacio Fernández Martín-Caro, Alejandra Franquet López-Mosteiro, Gonzalo Galvez Marquez, María José García Blanco, Yaiza García del Álamo Hernández, Clara García-Rayo Encina, Noemí Gilabert González, Carolina Guillamo Rodríguez, Nicolás Labrador San Martín, Manuel Molina Báez, Carmen Muñoz Delgado, Pedro Parra Caballero, Javier Pérez Serrano, Laura Rabes Rodríguez, Pablo Rodríguez Cortés, Carlos Rodriguez Franco, Emilia Roy-Vallejo, Monica Rueda Vega, Aresio Sancha Lloret, Beatriz Sánchez Moreno, Marta Sanz Alba, Jorge Serrano Ballesteros, Alba Somovilla, Carmen Suarez Fernández, Macarena Vargas Tirado, Almudena Villa Marti.

H. Infanta Sofía. SS de los Reyes (Madrid)

José Francisco Pascual Pareja, Isabel Perales Fraile, Arturo Muñoz Blanco, Rafael del Castillo Cantero, José Luis Valle López, Isabel Rábago Lorite, Rebeca Fuerte Martínez, Inés Suárez García, Llanos Soler Rangel.

H. U. de A Coruña

Alicia Alonso Álvarez, Olaya Alonso Juarros, Ariadna Arévalo López, Carmen Casariego Castiñeira, Ana Cerezales Calviño, Marta Contreras Sánchez, Ramón Fernández Varela, Santiago J. Freire Castro, Ana Padín Trigo, Rafael Prieto Jarel, Fátima Raad Varea, Ignacio Ramil Freán, Laura Ramos Alonso, Francisco Javier Sanmartín Pensado, David Vieito Porto.

H. Moisès Broggi. Sant Joan Despí (Barcelona)

Judit Aranda Lobo, Lucía Feria Casanovas, Jose Loureiro Amigo, Miguel Martín Fernández, Isabel Oriol Bermúdez, Melani Pestaña Fernández, Nicolas Rhyman, Nuria Vázquez Piqueras.

H. de Pozoblanco (Córdoba)

José Nicolás Alcalá Pedrajas, Antonia Márquez García, Inés Vargas.

H. U. Río Hortega. Valladolid

Irene Arroyo Jiménez, Marina Cazorla González, Marta Cobos-Siles, Luis Corral-Gudino, Pablo Cubero-Morais, María González Fernández, José Pablo Miramontes González, Marina Prieto Dehesa, Pablo Sanz Espinosa.

H. Nuestra Señora del Prado. Talavera de la Reina (Toledo)

Sonia Casallo Blanco, Jeffrey Oskar Magallanes Gamboa, Cristina Salazar Mosteiro, Andrea Silva Asiain.

H. U. Infanta Cristina. Parla (Madrid)

Juan Miguel Antón Santos, Ana Belén Barbero Barrera, Blanca Beamonte Vela, Coralia Bueno Muiño, Charo Burón Fernández, Ruth Calderón Hernáiz, Irene Casado López, José Manuel Casas Rojo, Andrés Cortés Troncoso, Pilar Cubo Romano, Francesco Deodati, Alejandro Estrada Santiago, Gonzalo García Casasola Sánchez, Elena García Guijarro, Francisco Javier García Sánchez, Pilar García de la Torre, Mayte de Guzmán García-Monge, Davide Luordo, María Mateos González, José A. Melero Bermejo, Cruz Pastor Valverde, José Luis Pérez Quero, Fernando Roque Rojas, Lorea Roteta García, Elena Sierra Gonzalo, Francisco Javier Teigell Muñoz, Juan Vicente de la Sota, Javier Villanueva Martínez.

H. de Urduliz Alfredo Espinosa (Vizcaya)

Miriam García Gómez, Pablo Ramírez Sánchez, Gorka Arroita Gonzalez, Alazne Lartategi Iraurgi, Asier Aranguren Arostegui, Paula Arriola Martínez, Isabel María Portales Fernández, Esther Martínez Becerro, Amalur Iza Jiménez, Cristian Vidal Núñez, María Aparicio López, Eduardo García López, Mª Soledad Azcona Losada, Beatriz Ruiz Estévez.

H. Virgen de la Salud. Toledo

Ana Maria Alguacil Muñoz, Marta Blanco Fernández, Veronica Cano, Ricardo Crespo Moreno, Fernando Cuadra Garcia-Tenorio, Blanca Díaz-Tendero Nájera, Raquel Estévez González, María Paz García Butenegro, Alberto Gato Díez, Verónica Gómez Caverzaschi, Piedad María Gómez Pedraza, Julio González Moraleja, Raúl Hidalgo Carvajal, Patricia Jiménez Aranda, Raquel Labra González, Áxel Legua Caparachini, Pilar Lopez Castañeyra, Agustín Lozano Ancin, Jose Domingo Martin Garcia, Cristina Morata Romero, María Jesús Moya Saiz, Helena Moza Moríñigo, Gemma Muñiz Nicolás, Enriqueta Muñoz Platon, Filomena Oliveri, Elena Ortiz Ortiz, Raúl Perea Rafael, Pilar Redondo Galán, María Antonia Sepulveda Berrocal, Vicente Serrano Romero de Ávila, Pilar Toledano Sierra, Yamilex Urbano Aranda, Jesús Vázquez Clemente, Carmen Yera Bergua.

H. de Sagunto (Valencia)

Enrique Rodilla Sala, Jose María Pascual Izuel, Zineb Karroud Zamrani.

H. U. Son Llàtzer. Palma de Mallorca

Andrés de la Peña Fernández, Almudena Hernández Milián.

H. Santa Marina. Bilbao

María Areses Manrique, Ainara Coduras Erdozain, Ane Labirua-Iturburu Ruiz.

H. Juan Ramón Jiménez. Huelva

Francisco Javier Bejarano Luque, Francisco-Javier Carrasco-Sánchez, Mercedes de-Sousa-Baena, Jaime Díaz Leal, Aurora Espinar Rubio, María Franco Huertas, Juan Antonio García Bravo, Andrés González Macías, Encarnación Gutiérrez Jiménez, Alicia Hidalgo Jiménez, Constantino Lozano Quintero, Carmen Mancilla Reguera, Francisco Javier Martínez Marcos, Francisco Muñoz Beamud, Maria Pérez-Aguilar, Alícia Pérez Jiménez, Virginia Rodríguez Castaño, Álvaro Sánchez de Alcázar del Río, Leire Toscano Ruiz.

H. San Pedro. Logroño (La Rioja)

Diana Alegre González, Irene Ariño Pérez de Zabalza, Sergio Arnedo Hernández, Jorge Collado Sáenz, Beatriz Dendariena, Marta Gómez del Mazo, Iratxe Martínez de Narvajas Urra, Sara Martínez Hernández, Estela Menéndez Fernández, José Luís Peña Somovilla, Elisa Rabadán Pejenaute.

H. del Henares. Coslada (Madrid)

Jesús Ballano Rodríguez-Solís, Luis Cabeza Osorio, María del Pilar Fidalgo Montero, Mª Isabel Fuentes Soriano, Erika Esperanza Lozano Rincón, Ana Martín Hermida, Jesús Martínez Carrilero, José Ángel Pestaña Santiago, Manuel Sánchez Robledo, Patricia Sanz Rojas, Nahum Jacobo Torres Yebes, Vanessa Vento.

H. U. Ramón y Cajal. Madrid

Luis Fernando Abrego Vaca, Ana Andréu Arnanz, Octavio Arce García, Marta Bajo González, Pablo Borque Sanz, Alberto Cozar Llisto, Sonia de Pedro Baena, Beatriz Del Hoyo Cuenda, Martin Fabregate-Fuente, María Alejandra Gamboa Osorio, Isabel García Sánchez, Andrés González García, Oscar Alberto López Cisneros, Luis Manzano, Miguel Martínez-Lacalzada, Borja Merino Ortiz, Jimena Rey-García, Elisa Riera González, Cristina Sánchez Díaz, Grisell Starita Fajardo, Cecilia Suárez Carantoña, Adrian Viteri-Noël, Svetlana Zhilina Zhilina.

H. U. Torrevieja (Alicante)

Julio César Blázquez Encinar.

H. HLA Moncloa. Madrid

Carmen Martínez Cilleros, Isabel Jiménez Martínez, Teresa García Delange.

C. H. U. Ourense

Raquel Fernández González, Amara González Noya, Carlos Hernández Cerón, Isabel Izuzquiza Avanzini, Ana Latorre Diez, Pablo López Mato, Ana María Lorenzo Vizcaya, Daniel Peña Benítez, Milagros María Peña Zemsch, Lucía Pérez Expósito, Marta Pose Bar, Lara Rey González, Laura Rodrigo Lara.

H. U. La Fe. Valencia

Dafne Cabañero, María Calabuig Ballester, Pascual Císcar Fernández, Ricardo Gil Sánchez, Marta Jiménez Escrig, Cristina Marín Amela, Laura Parra Gómez, Carlos Puig Navarro, José Antonio Todolí Parra.

C. Asistencial de Zamora

Carlota Tuñón de Almeida, María Esther Fraile Villarejo, Victoria Palomar Calvo, Sara Pintos Otero, Beatriz García López, Carlos Aldasoro Frías, Víctor Madrid Romero, Luis Arribas Pérez, Emilia Martínez Velado.

H. de Mataró. Barcelona

Raquel Aranega González, Ramon Boixeda, Javier Fernández Fernández, Carlos Lopera Mármol, Marta Parra Navarro, Ainhoa Rex Guzmán, Aleix Serrallonga Fustier.

H. Público de Monforte de Lemos (Lugo)

José López Castro, Manuel Lorenzo López Reboiro, Cristina Sardiña González.

C. H. U. de Ferrol (A Coruña)

Hortensia Alvarez Diaz, Tamara Dalama Lopez, Estefania Martul Pego, Carmen Mella Pérez, Ana Pazos Ferro, Sabela Sánchez Trigo, Dolores Suarez Sambade, Maria Trigas Ferrin, Maria del Carmen Vázquez Friol, Laura Vilariño Maneiro.

H. Alto Guadalquivir. Andújar (Jaén)

Begoña Cortés Rodríguez.

H. Infanta Margarita. Cabra (Córdoba)

María Esther Guisado Espartero, Lorena Montero Rivas, Maria de la Sierra Navas Alcántara, Raimundo Tirado-Miranda.

H. U. San Agustin. Avilés (Asturias)

Marta Nataya Solís Marquínez, Víctor Arenas García, Demelsa Blanco Suárez, Natalia García Arenas, Paula Martínez García, David Castrodá Copa, Andrea Álvarez García, Jaime Casal Álvarez, María Jose Menéndez Calderón, Raquel García Noriega, María Caño Rubia, Joaquin Llorente García, Luis Trapiella Martínez, José Ferreiro Celeiro, Diego Eduardo Olivo Aguilar, Irene Maderuelo Riesco, Juan Valdés Bécares, Alba Barragán Mateos, Andrés Astur Treceño García.

H. Univ. Ntra. Sra. Candelaria. Sta. Cruz de Tenerife

Joaquín Delgado Casamayor, Diego García Silvera, Andrea Afonso Díaz, Carolina Hernández Carballo, Alicia Tejera, María José Monedero Prieto, María Blanca Monereo Muñoz, José Manuel Del Arco Delgado, Daniel Rodríguez Díaz, Marta Bethencourt Feria, Francisco Javier Herrera Herrera, María de la Luz Padilla Salazar, Rubén Hernández Luis, Eduardo Mauricio Calderón Ledezma, María del Mar López Gámez, Laura Torres Hernández, Sara Castaño Pérez, Selena Gala Aguilera García, Guillermo Castro Gainett, Alba Gómez Hidalgo, Julia Marfil Daza, Marcelino Hayek Peraza.

H. U. Virgen del Rocío. Sevilla

Reyes Aparicio Santos, Máximo Bernabeu-Wittel, Santiago Rodríguez Suárez, María Nieto, Luis Giménez Miranda, Rosa María Gámez Mancera, Fátima Espinosa Torre, Carlos Hernandez Quiles, Concepción Conde Guzmán, Juan Delgado de la Cuesta, Jara Eloisa Ternero Vega, María del Carmen López Ríos, Pablo Díaz Jiménez, Bosco Baron Franco, Carlos Jiménez de Juan, Sonia Gutiérrez Rivero, Julia Lanseros Tenllado, Verónica Alfaro Lara, Aurora González Estrada.

H. Marina Baixa. Villajoyosa (Alicante)

Javier Ena, José Enrique Gómez Segado.

C. Asist. Univ. de León

Ángel Luis Martínez González, Beatriz Vicente Montes, Rosario María García Die, Alberto Muela Molinero, Manuel Martín Regidor, Raquel Rodríguez Díez.

H. del Tajo. Aranjuez (Madrid)

Ruth Gonzalez Ferrer, Virginia Gracia Lorenzo, Raquel Monsalvo Arroyo.

H. San Juan de la Cruz. Úbeda (Jaén)

Marcos Guzmán García, Francisco Javier Vicente Hernández.

H. Torrecárdenas. Almería

Bárbara Hernández Sierra, Luis Felipe Díez García, Iris El Attar Acedo, Carmen Mar Sánchez Cano.

H. Dr. José Molina Orosa. Arrecife (Lanzarote)

Virginia Herrero García, Berta Román Bernal.

H. Clinic Barcelona

Júlia Calvo Jiménez, Emmanuel Coloma Bazán, Aina Capdevila Reniu, Joan Ribot Grabalosa, Joaquim Fernández Solà, Irene Carbonell De Boulle, Cristina Gabara Xancó, Olga Rodríguez Núñez.

H. Insular de Gran Canaria. Las Palmas G. C.

Carlos Jorge Ripper.

H. U. Marqués de Valdecilla. Santander

Marta Fernández-Ayala Novo, José Javier Napal Lecumberri, Nuria Puente Ruiz, José Riancho, Isabel Sampedro García.

H. General Defensa. Zaragoza

Anyuli Gracia Gutiérrez, Leticia Esther Royo Trallero.

H. U. Virgen de las Nieves. Granada.

Pablo Conde Baena, Joaquín Escobar Sevilla, Laura Gallo Padilla, Patricia Gómez Ronquillo, Pablo González Bustos, María Navío Botías, Jessica Ramírez Taboada, Mar Rivero Rodríguez.

H. U. C. de Asturias. Oviedo

Víctor Asensi Álvarez, Noelia Morán Suárez, Sara Rodríguez Suárez, Silvia Suárez Díaz, Lucia Suárez Pérez, María Folgueras Gómez, Claudia Moran Castaño, Lucía Meijide Rodríguez, Carlos Vázquez, Itxasne Cabezón Estévanez, Carmen Yllera Gutiérrez, María Martínez Sela.

H. Valle del Nalón. Riaño-Langreo (Asturias)

Sara Fuente Cosío, César Manuel Gallo Álvaro, Julia Lobo García, Antía Pérez Piñeiro.

H. U. Severo Ochoa. Leganés (Madrid)

Yolanda Casillas Viera, Lucía Cayuela Rodríguez, Carmen de Juan Álvarez, Gema Flox Benitez, Laura García Escudero, Juan Martin Torres, Patricia Moreira Escriche, Susana Plaza Canteli, M Carmen Romero Pérez.

H. G. U. de Castellón

Jorge Andrés Soler, Marián Bennasar Remolar, Alejandro Cardenal Álvarez, Daniela Díaz Carlotti, María José Esteve Gimeno, Sergio Fabra Juana, Paula García López, María Teresa Guinot Soler, Daniela Palomo de la Sota, Guillem Pascual Castellanos, Ignacio Pérez Catalán, Celia Roig Martí, Paula Rubert Monzó, Javier Ruiz Padilla, Nuria Tornador Gaya, Jorge Usó Blasco.

H. Francesc de Borja. Gandía (Valencia)

M Angeles Martinez Pascual, Leyre Jorquer Vidal.

H. de Palamós (Girona)

Ana Alberich Conesa, Mari Cruz Almendros Rivas, Miquel Hortos Alsina, José Marchena Romero, Anabel Martin-Urda Diez-Canseco.

H. Germans Trias i Pujol. Badalona (Barcelona)

H. Platón. Barcelona

Ana Suárez Lombraña.

H. U. del Vinalopó. Elche (Alicante)

Francisco Amorós Martínez, Erika Ascuña Vásquez, José Carlos Escribano Stablé, Adriana Hernández Belmonte, Ana Maestre Peiró, Raquel Martínez Goñi, M. Carmen Pacheco Castellanos, Bernardino Soldan Belda, David Vicente Navarro.

H. U. del Sureste. Arganda del Rey (Madrid)

Jon Cabrejas Ugartondo, Ana Belén Mancebo Plaza, Arturo Noguerado Asensio, Bethania Pérez Alves, Natalia Vicente López.

H. Parc Tauli. Sabadell (Barcelona)

Francisco Epelde, Isabel Torrente.

H. U. Quironsalud Madrid

Pablo Guisado Vasco, Ana Roda Santacruz, Ana Valverde Muñoz.

H. Santa Bárbara. Soria

Marta León Téllez.

H. Virgen de los Lirios. Alcoy (Alicante)

Mª José Esteban Giner.

H. San Pedro de Alcántara. Cáceres

Eva García Sardón, Javier Galán González, Luis Gámez Salazar, Angela Agea Garcia, Itziar Montero Días, Álvaro Santaella Gómez, Marta Correa Matos, Selene Núñez Gaspar, Antonio González Nieto.

H. Asepeyo Coslada (Madrid)

Alejo Erice Calvo-Sotelo.

H. U. Lucus Augusti. Lugo

Raquel Gómez Méndez, Ana Rodríguez Álvarez.

H. U. de Canarias. Sta. Cruz de Tenerife

Onán Pérez Hernández, Alina Pérez Ramírez, María Candelaria Martín González, Miguel Nicolas Navarrete Lorite, Lourdes González Navarrete, Julio Cesar Alvisa Negrin, José Fernando Armas González, Iballa Jiménez, Paula Ortega Toledo, Esther Martin Ponce.

H. Clínico Universitario de Valladolid

Xjoylin Teresita Egües Torres, Sara Gutiérrez González, Cristina Novoa Fernández, Pablo Tellería Gómez.

H. Comarcal de Blanes (Girona)

Oriol Alonso Gisbert, Mercé Blázquez Llistosella, Pere Comas Casanova, Angels García Flores, Anna García Hinojo, Ana Inés Méndez Martínez, María del Carmen Nogales Nieves, Agnés Rivera Austrui, Alberto Zamora Cervantes.

H. do Salnes. Vilagarcía de Arousa (Pontevedra)

Vanesa Alende Castro, Ana María Baz Lomba, Ruth Brea Aparicio, Marta Fernández Morales, Jesús Manuel Fernández Villar, María Teresa López Monteagudo, Cristina Pérez García, Lorena Rodríguez Ferreira, Diana Sande Llovo, Maria Begoña Valle Feijoo.

H. de Poniente. El Ejido (Almería)

Juan Antonio Montes Romero, José Luis Serrano Carrillo de Albornoz, Manuel Jesús Soriano Pérez, Encarna Sánchez Martín.

H. Virgen del Mar. Madrid

Thamar Capel Astrua, Paola Tatiana García Giraldo, María Jesús González Juárez, Victoria Márquez Fernández, Ada Viviana Romero Echevarry.

H. U. HM Montepríncipe

José F. Varona Arche.

H. de Montilla (Córdoba)

Adrián Montaño Martínez.

H. Infanta Elena. Huelva

María Gloria Rojano Rivero.

H. Sierrallana. Torrelavega (Cantabria)

Reina Valle Bernad, Cristina Limia, Cristina Amado Fernández, Andrea Tejero Fernández, Lucia Paz Fajardo, Tomás de Vega Santos.

H. de la Axarquía. Vélez-Málaga (Málaga)

Antonio López Ruiz.

H. Quironsalud A Coruña

Hector Meijide Míguez.

Appendix B
Supplementary data

The following is Supplementary data to this article:

References
[1]
F. Zhou, T. Yu, R. Du, G. Fan, Y. Liu, Z. Liu, et al.
Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study.
Lancet., 395 (2020), pp. 1054-1062
[2]
R. Díaz-Simón, A. Lalueza, J. Lora-Tamayo, M. Rubio-Rivas, C.L. Mendo, M.L.T. Martínez, et al.
Clinical characteristics and risk factors of respiratory failure in a cohort of young patients requiring hospital admission with SARS-CoV2 infection in Spain: results of the multicenter SEMI-COVID-19 registry.
J Gen Intern Med., 36 (2021), pp. 3080-3087
[3]
A.B. Li, B. Yang, Y. Li, R. Huynh, S. Shim, K. Lo, et al.
A network meta-analysis of association between cardiometabolic risk factors and COVID-19 outcome severity.
J Diabetes., 15 (2023), pp. 968-977
[4]
A. Mehri, S. Sotoodeh Ghorbani, K. Farhadi-Babadi, E. Rahimi, Z. Barati, N. Taherpour, et al.
Risk factors associated with severity and death from COVID-19 in Iran: a systematic review and meta-analysis study.
J Intensive Care Med., 38 (2023), pp. 825-837
[5]
R. Kowsar, A.M. Rahimi, M. Sroka, A. Mansouri, K. Sadeghi, E. Bonakdar, et al.
Risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients: a meta- and network analysis.
[6]
C.I. Vardavas, A.G. Mathioudakis, K. Nikitara, K. Stamatelopoulos, G. Georgiopoulos, R. Phalkey, et al.
Prognostic factors for mortality, intensive care unit and hospital admission due to SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies in Europe.
Eur Respir Rev., 31 (2022),
[7]
Z.G. Dessie, T. Zewotir.
Mortality-related risk factors of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 42 studies and 423,117 patients.
BMC Infect Dis., 21 (2021), pp. 855
[8]
J.H. Beigel, K.M. Tomashek, L.E. Dodd, A.K. Mehta, B.S. Zingman, A.C. Kalil, et al.
Remdesivir for the treatment of Covid-19 - final report.
N Engl J Med., 383 (2020), pp. 1813-1826
[9]
P. Horby, W.S. Lim, J.R. Emberson, M. Mafham, J.L. Bell, L. Linsell, RECOVERY Collaborative Group, et al.
Dexamethasone in hospitalized patients with Covid-19.
N Engl J Med., 384 (2021), pp. 693-704
[10]
J.M. Mora-Luján, M. Tuells, A. Montero, F. Formiga, N.A. Homs, J. Albá-Albalate, et al.
High-dose methylprednisolone pulses for 3 days vs. low-dose dexamethasone for 10 days in severe, non-critical COVID-19: a retrospective propensity score matched analysis.
J Clin Med., 10 (2021), pp. 4465
[11]
C. Lavilla Olleros, C. Ausín García, A.D. Bendala Estrada, A. Muñoz, P.E. Wikman Jogersen, A. Fernández Cruz, et al.
Use of glucocorticoids megadoses in SARS-CoV-2 infection in a Spanish registry: SEMI-COVID-19.
PLoS One., 17 (2022),
[12]
M. Rubio-Rivas, J.M. Mora-Luján, A. Montero, J.A. Aguilar García, M. Méndez Bailón, A. Fernández Cruz, et al.
The use of corticosteroids or tocilizumab in COVID-19 based on inflammatory markers.
J Gen Intern Med., 37 (2022), pp. 168-175
[13]
M. Rubio-Rivas, M. Ronda, A. Padulles, F. Mitjavila, A. Riera-Mestre, C. García-Forero, et al.
Beneficial effect of corticosteroids in preventing mortality in patients receiving tocilizumab to treat severe COVID-19 illness.
Int J Infect Dis., 101 (2020), pp. 290-297
[14]
I.M. Tleyjeh, Z. Kashour, M. Riaz, L. Hassett, V.C. Veiga, T. Kashour.
Efficacy and safety of tocilizumab in COVID-19 patients: a living systematic review and meta-analysis-first update.
Clin Microbiol Infect., (2021),
[15]
M. Rubio-Rivas, C.G. Forero, J.M. Mora-Luján, A. Montero, F. Formiga, N.A. Homs, et al.
Beneficial and harmful outcomes of tocilizumab in severe COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Pharmacotherapy., 41 (2021), pp. 884-906
[16]
G. Pomponio, A. Ferrarini, M. Bonifazi, M. Moretti, A. Salvi, A. Giacometti, et al.
Tocilizumab in COVID-19 interstitial pneumonia.
[17]
F. Perrone, M.C. Piccirillo, P.A. Ascierto, C. Salvarani, R. Parrella, A.M. Marata, et al.
Tocilizumab for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. The single-arm TOCIVID-19 prospective trial.
J Transl Med., 18 (2020), pp. 405
[18]
A.C. Gordon, P.R. Mouncey, F. Al-Beidh, K.M. Rowan, A.D. Nichol, Y.M. Arabi, REMAP-CAP Investigators, et al.
Interleukin-6 receptor antagonists in critically ill patients with Covid-19.
N Engl J Med., (2021),
[19]
I.O. Rosas, N. Bräu, M. Waters, R.C. Go, B.D. Hunter, S. Bhagani, et al.
Tocilizumab in hospitalized patients with severe Covid-19 pneumonia.
N Engl J Med., (2021),
[20]
A.S. Soin, K. Kumar, N.S. Choudhary, P. Sharma, Y. Mehta, S. Kataria, et al.
Tocilizumab plus standard care versus standard care in patients in India with moderate to severe COVID-19-associated cytokine release syndrome (COVINTOC): an open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial.
Lancet Respir Med., (2021),
[21]
D. Wang, B. Fu, Z. Peng, D. Yang, M. Han, M. Li, et al.
Tocilizumab in patients with moderate or severe COVID-19: a randomized, controlled, open-label, multicenter trial.
Front Med., (2021), pp. 1-9
[22]
RECOVERY Collaborative Group.
Tocilizumab in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial.
Lancet., 397 (2021), pp. 1637-1645
[23]
G. Sinatti, S.J. Santini, G. Tarantino, G. Picchi, B. Cosimini, F. Ranfone, et al.
PaO2/FiO2 ratio forecasts COVID-19 patients’ outcome regardless of age: a cross-sectional, monocentric study.
Intern Emerg Med., 17 (2022), pp. 665-673
[24]
S. Sartini, L. Massobrio, O. Cutuli, P. Campodonico, C. Bernini, M. Sartini, et al.
Role of SatO2, PaO2/FiO2 ratio and PaO2 to predict adverse outcome in COVID-19: a retrospective, cohort study.
Int J Environ Res Public Health., 18 (2021), pp. 11534
[25]
A. Zinellu, A. De Vito, V. Scano, P. Paliogiannis, V. Fiore, G. Madeddu, et al.
The PaO2/FiO2 ratio on admission is independently associated with prolonged hospitalization in COVID-19 patients.
J Infect Dev Ctries., 15 (2021), pp. 353-359
[26]
A. Russo, M. Pisaturo, I. De Luca, F. Schettino, P. Maggi, F.G. Numis, et al.
Lactate dehydrogenase and PaO2/FiO2 ratio at admission helps to predict CT score in patients with COVID-19: an observational study.
J Infect Public Health., 16 (2023), pp. 136-142
[27]
J.M. Casas-Rojo, J.M. Antón-Santos, J. Millán-Núñez-Cortés, C. Lumbreras-Bermejo, J.M. Ramos-Rincón, E. Roy-Vallejo, et al.
Clinical characteristics of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in Spain: results from the SEMI-COVID-19 registry.
Rev Clin Esp., 220 (2020), pp. 480-494
[28]
M. Rubio-Rivas, X. Corbella, F. Formiga, E. Menéndez Fernández, M.D. Martín Escalante, I. Baños Fernández, et al.
Risk categories in COVID-19 based on degrees of inflammation. Data on more than 17,000 patients from the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 registry.
J Clin Med., (2021),
[29]
M. Rubio-Rivas, J.M. Mora-Luján, F. Formiga, C. Arévalo-Cañas, J.M. Lebrón Ramos, M.V. Villalba García, et al.
WHO ordinal scale and inflammation risk categories in COVID-19. Comparative study of the severity scales.
[30]
S. Dhont, E. Derom, E. Van Braeckel, P. Depuydt, B.N. Lambrecht.
The pathophysiology of ‘happy’ hypoxemia in COVID-19.
Respir Res., 21 (2020), pp. 198
[31]
M. Rubio-Rivas, J.M. Mora-Luján, F. Formiga, M.Á. Corrales González, M.D.M. García Andreu, V. Moreno-Torres, et al.
Clusters of inflammation in COVID-19: descriptive analysis and prognosis on more than 15,000 patients from the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 Registry.
Intern Emerg Med., (2022), pp. 1-13

A complete list of the SEMI-COVID-19 Network members is provided in the Appendix A.

Download PDF
Idiomas
Revista Clínica Española (English Edition)
Article options
Tools
Supplemental materials
es en

¿Es usted profesional sanitario apto para prescribir o dispensar medicamentos?

Are you a health professional able to prescribe or dispense drugs?